Airlines do go bankrupt because previously the airline industry wasn’t a big profit industry. USAir used to keep meticulous track of money so they’d know if they’re going into a chapter 7 or 11 bankruptcy soon. Now the airlines have stability. And the money to create the safest most reliable planes. But they still have to compete with Spirit and the like, who really don’t care what your flying experience is like. Also American makes over 60% of their profit on the 13% of business travelers. That’s where there making revenue, it’s not coming from the economy tickets. It just costs a lot to be a semi comfortable safe stable reliable airline.
]]>While fuel is one very big part of the total cost-side picture for carriers, it’s not the only one either..
Competition is another HUGE one as well..
But back to fuel.. for most carriers, unlike you and I who buy our gas (for cars) at the then-market price, many carriers ‘hedge’ that being they pay a third-party a premium for the “right” to be able to buy X amount of fuel at Y price… So, by doing so, they’ve locked in one of their largest cost elements.
The problem is IF furl drops, they’re still on the hook to buy that fuel at their previously agreed upon price… So, there’s a negative savings if you will. Naturally IF it rises in the future, those that hedged are golden and will be saving.
So, that’s the fuel side..
But.. also working against you for lower prices are 3 other things..
Competiton.. There’s simply fewer overall airlines running today (within the US) and fewer actual seats today… the other part of that is coming out of the GFC which most people say started in 2008 or so, there’s a fair bit of pent up demand for travel..
So, carriers are in a very good place… lower fuel, or if under hedge, the ability to buy hedges for later delivery at lower prices, combined with fewer competitors and more people wanting to travel.
Add it all up and the results are that carriers are in the driers seat and are able to exert more pricing power than they historically have been able to do so.. to be plain, there’s no NEED for them to drop fares because of lower fuel…. demand is strong an capacity is tight.
]]>To the notion of round-trip tickets to Europe for $500…I remember those, but it was in the late 1980s. $500 in 1988 is about $985 in today’s dollars.
]]>Quite often I found out it’s cheaper (or same price) to drive to the state I need to go to, than to fly there. One or two adult tickets would actually pay for the needed gas to go where I need to go and I can also take my children with me at no extra charge.
I personally don’t mind driving and I get to see nature. It’s a longer drive yes, but we don’t care. Why would I want to expose my family to the abuses of TSA, super uncomfortable cramped seats, terrible service from employes who don’t want to work there, and then experience the incompetence of brand new pilots who are not taught how to properly fly an aircraft when computers fail! No way! I can get a lot better service driving in our comfy Merc Marauder and enjoy the seas of traffic part ways.
Of course this how I like to do things. I’m not saying you should do it, you may not be able to afford the time etc. However for those of us who can, we do ask the airlines the following question: give us a very good reason why we should choose your service over our own? Right now we don’t see any reason why we should fly with any of them, at least locally.
]]>There’s something that always puzzles me, it’s the price difference between originating your flight from the US, compared to originating from Europe.
For example, take a flight from SFO to CFG, anytime in the summer. It’s going to be 60% on average more expensive than the same flight, same dates, same airline, but in the other direction (CDG to SFO). I just don’t get why. If I’m flying on the same dates, why would I pay almost double than someone from Europe?
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